Warren leads Brown in latest poll by 6 percent

Warren ahead 52 percent to 46 percent

Democrats set to win Massachusetts, Connecticut Senate races

By Walter Brooks

Brown held a rally Saturday in Dennis,and later in Plymouth. Photo courtesy of Dick Neitz.IIn a poll released Friday by Public Policy Polling found Warren ahead 52 percent to 46 percent.

PPP's final polls in Massachusetts and Connecticut find that Democrats are likely to pick up the Senate seat in the former and hold onto the open seat in the latter.

Elizabeth Warren leads Scott Brown 52-46 in the Massachusetts contest, while Chris Murphy has a 52-43 advantage over Linda McMahon in Connecticut.

The poll found Warren is consolidating Democrats behind her, picking up asmany as 84 percent of their votes.

That’s the key to her victory in a presidential year in Massachusetts where the Democratic party has a three-to-one advantage over Republicans.

Obama over Romney by 15 percent

The survey, taken last Thursday and Friday, also found President Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney by 15 percentage points, 57 percent to 42 percent.

“In August  these Democratic candidates trailed in both of their Senate races, but Elizabeth Warren and Chris Murphy have closed strongly and appear to be in a safe position for victory, which will go a long way toward helping their party keep its majority.”
     - Dean Debnam, President,
        Public Policy Polling.
Brown was on Cape Cod today to rally supporters in Dennis and earlier in Plymouth.

The poll found Brown has a high approval rating for an incumbent, with 52 percent saying they approve of his job performance and only 36 percent disapproving.

Governor Deval Patrick, and U.S. Rep John Lewis (D-GA) joined Elizabeth Warren yesterday for several rallies, including one at the Old First Church in Springfield’s Court Square.

The three will be making stops today in Auburn, Boston, and Lawrence.

Barnstorming in his barn coat

Meanwhile Brown swept through the Bay State at a fast pace yesterday accompanied by former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani offering voters he said the choice of a moderate running against a political machine.Warren responded by needling Brown on his job votes, saying he voted to block the Democrat-backed bills because it would have increased taxes for the wealthiest.

Brown falls behind Warren in latest poll.But even before Warren took to the podium yesterday, the crowd was whipped into applause by a speech from Governor Deval Patrick, who told them that a vote for Warren is a vote for President Obama.

This latest poll shows that Elizabeth Warren has the edge against Republican Sen. Scott Brown in one of the most expensive races in the country. $68 million has been spent so far by the two, and this huge number is despite both candidates agreeing to ban outside money.

Brown won a special election in January 2010 to fill the seat of the late Democratic Sen. Edward Kennedy with the backing of the tea party, and he has vowed to be an independent voice in the Senate, but he's up against some hard numbers.

Elizabeth, Barack and Marina in Ptown Saturday.
O.K. it's just a cardboard cutout of Barack.
But Obama will win the Massachusetts easily with as many as 800,000 more voters than in 2010, most of them Democrats and independents who favor Democrats.

Control of the U.S. Senate at stake

Strategists in both parties rate Democratic Sen. Rep. Claire McCaskill the favorite for a new term in Missouri. Independent former Gov. Angus King appears to hold an advantage over major party rivals in Maine.

GOP candidate Richard Mourdock is struggling against Democratic Rep. Joe Donnelly in a race where a Libertarian candidate, Andrew Horning, appears to be draining votes from the Republican. The latest poll showed Democrat Joe Donnelly with a 47 percent to 36 percent lead over the GOP's Mourdock for the Indiana Senate seat, and in Massachusetts late-campaign polls suggest Republican Sen. Scott Brown is slipping in a race with challenger Elizabeth Warren.

But a series of awkward statements like Missouri GOP senate candidate Todd Akin's remark that women's bodies have a way of preventing pregnancy after "legitimate rape," and tea party-backed state Indiana Treasurer Richard Mourdock's primary victory over veteran Republican Sen. Richard Lugar in Indiana have all complicated the party's task.

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