Don't kill the weatherman, but this weekend looks to be bringing us yet another weekend snow event.
While this will strain our snow removal budget and maybe kill some people, you will see your chances of a White MLK Day greatly increased. I'm sure that the good Doctor (who was a BU guy) would appreciate the irony.
We're 5 days out in a field where you're only going to be confident 1 day before the event, but I can tell you what I know.
We will be approached by 2 systems. The first, which should come by on Thursday/Friday, will give us a dusting to 3 inches. That's your appetizer, monsieur.
Then, the next day, we get the bigger of the two systems. That's the one on the picture above, the one with the center of the gale sitting right on ol' Cape Cod. Both the GFS and European models are shown here, and they are suprisingly in agreement in regard to that low rolling right over Cape Cod.
We're thinking Friday/Saturday here, but it's still very iffy. We're also iffy on the effect. I've read "6 inches," "a foot and a half," and "blizzard." The term "blizzard' was used by the severe weather expert on Accuweather.
The local weather people won't commit yet, which may be wise because the storm is so far off. They'll hype it some, but will avoid a long-range forecast. Not me... I have no credibility to lose.
I'll go all out right now, and leave enough wiggle room to change my forecast. Here we go:
Cape and Islands: Snow, changing to rain. Intense wind. The new moon is January 4th, so flooding won't be as bad as it could. I'll give us 4" of snow before it changes over, rain for most of the storm, and then another inch of snow as the storm pulls away.
Canal to South Shore: The same thing as the Cape, but it will take longer to change over to rain. I'll give them 6" of snow, a lot of rain, and flurries as the storm pulls away. Depending on how many rocks have piled up on your beach against the seawall, you may have some minor coastal flooding.
Interior Eastern Massachusetts: I see the snow line stopping along 495, with everyone west of it jumping up into the heavier snow amounts. let's give them a broad 8-16" of snow, with no changeover. They'll get less wind, and- as you might imagine- Worcester and her neighbors stand very little chance of coastal flooding.
Again, this is 5 days out, and it could miss us entirely. It could repeat the last storm, and give us a rain event. It could track south of us and snowball the whole state. It could just hit Cape Cod and miss even Plymouth. We honestly don't know... and neither do the actuial real weather people, if I can save you a trip to their websites.
We'll be here all week, and we'll give you any updates you may need. Stay tuned!